The most seasonal coastal municipalities
JDG InfoCredit Index
Rewal, Mielno, Władysławowo, Łeba, Krynica Morska – these are the five communes that fell into seasonal lethargy the fastest when it comes to economic activity. These are typical tourist, seasonal, seaside towns that come to life in May and June, only to fall into autumn and winter sleep in August and September.
The InfoCredit economic activity index at the end of August for Rewal fell to -45.13 points. For Mielno to -28.73 points, Władysławowo to -22.45 points, Łeba to -16.87 points, and for Krynica Morska to -13.73 points. Our index describes the ratio of new and resumed activities to suspended and closed ones, per 1,000 residents. If it has a positive value, it means that there are more new and resumed activities. If it is negative, more are suspended and closed. What does it mean when the index drops to -50 points? That in a given commune 1 business per 20 inhabitants was closed or suspended.
Interestingly, in our ranking after May, Krynica Morska was the leader (+40.07 points), Rewal was in 3rd place and Władysławowo in 5th. After June, the leaders were as follows – Jastarnia (+52.56 points), Rewal, Władysławowo, Mielno, Krynica Morska. The top ten included only coastal communes. And it can be said that it is in these communes that economic activities are the most seasonal.
In total, in August, 22.46 thousand businesses were established in Poland, 13.55 thousand were resumed, 32.82 were suspended, and 12.26 thousand were closed. The IC index for the entire country after August was therefore -9,073. It is slightly higher than a year ago, when it was worth -11,233 points.
What is happening in September? Until 18.09, nationwide, suspended and closed businesses still outweigh new and reopened ones. This is a seasonal phenomenon. We will be able to say more after the end of Q3, when full data will be available. We are all now anxiously looking at the provinces affected by the flood.
For now, it is too early to talk about the impact of the disaster on economic activities in the Lower Silesian province. In the Kłodzko district, 21 applications for suspension have been submitted since 16 September, and in the Nysa district, 8. Residents and entrepreneurs are estimating losses and removing the effects of the flood. In fact, it is still difficult to handle matters there when offices have been flooded, and there are problems with energy and communication. We will present statistics from the regions affected by the disaster in October.
There are 2,477 communes in Poland. We monitor all of them. Do you want to know what is happening in your province, district, commune? Contact us: infocredit@infocredit.pl or media@infocredit.pl . We invite you.
How do we calculate the InfoCredit business activity index?
Our business activity index shows the ratio of new and resumed businesses to closed and suspended businesses. When the index is positive, it means that more businesses were established and re-established than were suspended and closed. The higher the index value, the greater the tendency to open small businesses. When the index indicates values below zero, it means a retreat from this form of business activity. The more the index is negative, the more small entrepreneurs withdraw from business (definitely or temporarily). We publish the index on a quarterly basis (after each quarter) and monthly basis. In the case of individual communes, we calculate the index value per 1,000 residents.
